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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

AD Fornos Algodres Os Marialvas
AD Fornos Algodres L W W L L
Os Marialvas D D D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

AD Fornos Algodres Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 18, 25 Home AVS 0 - 7 Loss
Sep 21, 25 Home Ch. Caparica 3 - 1 Win
Sep 21, 25 Home Charneca Caparica 3 - 1 Win
Sep 10, 23 Home Oliveira Hospital 0 - 5 Loss
Sep 3, 17 Away Lusitano FCV 4 - 1 Loss

Os Marialvas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 22, 26 Away União Lamas 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 21, 25 Away Mortágua 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 31, 25 Away Academica 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 20, 24 Home Rebordosa 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 22, 24 Home Tondela 2 - 1 Win
Sep 24, 23 Away Lusitânia 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
AD Fornos Algodres or Os Marialvas to win
This prediction indicates that Os Marialvas has a 42.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.53 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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