Primera División
Match Analysis
ADT
Cienciano
ADT
L
L
L
D
D
L
Cienciano
W
W
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The Cienciano side carries a clear quality gap over ADT, and Cienciano have been in moderately better recent form, while ADT have struggled. However, the model sees a home win as likely, assigning it a 42% chance. This prediction is notably more confident than the market odds imply for a home victory. Additionally, the model thinks there’s a good chance both teams will score and that the match will have more than one or two goals, aligning somewhat more bullishly with the market’s view on goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | ADT | 3 - 2 | April 3, 2026 |
| ADT | Cienciano | 1 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| ADT | Cienciano | 1 - 1 | March 5, 2025 |
| Cienciano | ADT | 2 - 2 | February 9, 2025 |
| Cienciano | ADT | 0 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| ADT | Cienciano | 1 - 1 | February 3, 2024 |
ADT Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | FBC Melgar | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Sport Huancayo | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Juan Pablo II College | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | UTC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Cienciano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | FC Cajamarca | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Cusco | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Sport Boys | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 40 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that both ADT and Cienciano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.ADT or Cienciano to win
This prediction indicates that ADT has a 41.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.63 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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