Primera División
Match Analysis
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
W
W
D
W
L
W
Comerciantes Unidos
L
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 0 | April 22, 2026 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 0 | October 18, 2025 |
| Alianza Atletico | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 - 0 | June 12, 2025 |
| Alianza Atletico | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 - 0 | September 23, 2024 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atletico | 0 - 0 | April 23, 2024 |
| Alianza Atletico | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 - 2 | October 15, 2017 |
Alianza Atletico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | UCV Moquegua | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | ADT | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Cienciano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Alianza Lima | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Cultural Santa Rosa | 3 - 1 | Win |
Comerciantes Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | FC Cajamarca | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | UTC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Atletico Grau | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Cusco | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Alianza Lima | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 34 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alianza Atletico to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Atletico has a 48.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.31 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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