AFC Portchester vs Portland United Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

AFC Portchester Portland United

AFC Portchester L D W W D L

Portland United L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 25	Home	Gloucester City	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Away	Gloucester City	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 25	Away	Moneyfields	1 - 2	Win
Aug 5, 25	Home	Melksham Town	3 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	Melksham Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 17, 24	Away	Westbury United	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 25	Away	Hythe & Dibden	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Home	Hamworthy Recreation	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 5, 23	Away	Horndean	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 6, 22	Away	Lymington Town	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 10, 21	Away	Bournemouth FC	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 7, 21	Home	Bournemouth FC	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that AFC Portchester has a 54.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.01 %

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