AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League One

AFC Wimbledon

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Stevenage

Match Analysis

AFC Wimbledon Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon D W W L W L

Stevenage W W D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stevenage	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 0	March 14, 2026
AFC Wimbledon	Stevenage	0 - 0	December 26, 2025
AFC Wimbledon	Stevenage	1 - 5	September 2, 2025
AFC Wimbledon	Stevenage	1 - 1	September 5, 2023
Stevenage	AFC Wimbledon	2 - 1	April 15, 2023
AFC Wimbledon	Stevenage	2 - 3	February 28, 2023

AFC Wimbledon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Doncaster	1 - 0	Win
Sep 7, 26	Away	Bromley	0 - 2	Win
Sep 2, 26	Away	Burton Albion	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Wigan	1 - 0	Win
Aug 27, 26	Away	Fulham	3 - 0	Loss

Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 10, 26	Home	Luton	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Barnsley	1 - 5	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	Peterborough	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Doncaster	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Oxford United	1 - 2	Loss

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	AFC Wimbledon	6	3	1	2	5	7	-2	10
9	Stevenage	6	2	3	1	11	7	+4	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Stevenage to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Stevenage has a 35.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.30 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League One

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

AFC Wimbledon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)

League One Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Stevenage to win or Draw

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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