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UEFA Champions League Women

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Ajax W Real Madrid W
Ajax W W W L D D L
Real Madrid W W W W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ajax W Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Rangers W 2 - 1 Win
Aug 5, 26 Home Brøndby 2 - 0 Win
Sep 7, 24 Home Fiorentina W 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 4, 24 Home Kolos Kovalivka W 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 27, 24 Away Chelsea W 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 19, 24 Home Chelsea W 0 - 3 Loss

Real Madrid W Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Granada 2 - 0 Win
May 26, 26 Away FC Levante Badalona 0 - 4 Win
May 10, 26 Home Atletico Madrid W 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Sevilla W 0 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Edf Logrono W 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 5, 26 Away Madrid CFF W 0 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Real Madrid W to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid W has a 69.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.91 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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