Al Karkh vs Erbil Monday 24th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS

Al Karkh Erbil

Al Karkh L D L W D W

Erbil W W W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Al Karkh	Erbil	1 - 0	May 2, 2026
Al Karkh	Erbil	1 - 1	January 27, 2026
Erbil	Al Karkh	1 - 3	June 29, 2025
Al Karkh	Erbil	2 - 4	January 19, 2025
Al Karkh	Erbil	0 - 0	May 8, 2024
Erbil	Al Karkh	0 - 0	March 28, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Naft	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Away	Al Talaba	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Al Shorta	0 - 2	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Al Najaf	2 - 5	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Gharraf	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Baghdad	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Home	Baghdad	3 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Al Shorta	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Newroz	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 4	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Erbil	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Al Karkh	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 41.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.00 %

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