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Iraqi League

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Al-Karma Karbala
Al-Karma D W W D D D
Karbala W L L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karbala Al-Karma 0 - 2 June 13, 2025
Al-Karma Karbala 0 - 0 January 2, 2025

Al-Karma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Mosul 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 2, 26 Away Al Kahrabaa 0 - 3 Win
May 27, 26 Home Diyala 1 - 0 Win
May 19, 26 Away Al Talaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 14, 26 Away Naft Maysan 1 - 1 Draw
May 5, 26 Away Naft 0 - 0 Draw

Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 8, 26 Away Baghdad 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 25 Home Al Hudod 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 25 Home Naft 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 18, 25 Away Newroz 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 25 Home Al-Karma 0 - 2 Loss
May 19, 25 Away Al Minaa Basra 3 - 1 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Karbala 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Al-Karma 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al-Karma to win
This prediction indicates that Al-Karma has a 71.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.06 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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