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Iraqi League

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS

Match Analysis

Al Minaa Basra Gharraf
Al Minaa Basra D D D D W D
Gharraf L W D D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Al Minaa Basra Gharraf 0 - 1 April 28, 2026
Al Minaa Basra Gharraf 0 - 1 February 13, 2026

Al Minaa Basra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Al Zawra'a 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 2, 26 Away Al Shorta 0 - 0 Draw
May 28, 26 Home Al Talaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Zakho 2 - 2 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Mosul 1 - 0 Win
May 14, 26 Away Naft 1 - 1 Draw

Gharraf Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 2, 26 Home Naft Maysan 0 - 2 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Baghdad 1 - 3 Win
May 19, 26 Away Al Kahrabaa 2 - 2 Draw
May 15, 26 Home Al Karkh 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Al Shorta 1 - 0 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Diyala 0 - 0 Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Gharraf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Al Minaa Basra 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al Minaa Basra to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Al Minaa Basra has a 38.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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