Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal Monday 24th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Ghaz Al Shamal

Al Quwa Al Jawiya D W W W W L

Ghaz Al Shamal L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Newroz	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 2, 26	Home	Zakho	3 - 2	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Naft Maysan	0 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Al Zawra'a	2 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Al Talaba	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Duhok	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1
6	Ghaz Al Shamal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Al Quwa Al Jawiya has a 70.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.54 %

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