Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Al Talaba
Naft
Al Talaba
L
D
D
D
L
D
Naft
W
W
W
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Talaba | Naft | 0 - 0 | March 30, 2026 |
| Naft | Al Talaba | 3 - 0 | September 25, 2025 |
| Naft | Al Talaba | 0 - 0 | April 21, 2025 |
| Al Talaba | Naft | 1 - 0 | January 24, 2025 |
| Al Talaba | Naft | 0 - 0 | July 10, 2024 |
| Naft | Al Talaba | 2 - 1 | November 1, 2023 |
Al Talaba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Diyala | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Al Karkh | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 28, 26 | Away | Al Minaa Basra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 19, 26 | Home | Al-Karma | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Mosul | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Naft Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al Karkh | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Newroz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Al Zawra'a | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 19, 26 | Home | Duhok | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Al Minaa Basra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Naft Maysan | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naft | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Al Talaba to win
This prediction indicates that Al Talaba has a 47.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.51 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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