La Liga
Match Analysis
Alaves
Villarreal
Alaves
D
W
W
D
L
W
Villarreal
W
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | March 13, 2026 |
| Villarreal | Alaves | 3 - 1 | January 10, 2026 |
| Alaves | Villarreal | 1 - 0 | March 8, 2025 |
| Villarreal | Alaves | 3 - 0 | November 9, 2024 |
| Alaves | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | February 10, 2024 |
| Villarreal | Alaves | 1 - 1 | October 22, 2023 |
Alaves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Racing Santander | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Castellón | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Girona | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Eibar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Oviedo | 0 - 1 | Win |
Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Levante | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Benfica | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 0 | Loss |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Villarreal | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Alaves | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Villarreal to win
This prediction indicates that Villarreal has a 42.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.28 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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