J2 League
Match Analysis
Albirex Niigata
Montedio Yamagata
Albirex Niigata
W
L
W
W
L
L
Montedio Yamagata
W
D
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | Montedio Yamagata | 3 - 4 | July 25, 2026 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Albirex Niigata | 1 - 1 | October 1, 2022 |
| Albirex Niigata | Montedio Yamagata | 3 - 0 | May 29, 2022 |
| Albirex Niigata | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 2 | September 11, 2021 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Albirex Niigata | 0 - 2 | April 11, 2021 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Albirex Niigata | 1 - 2 | November 4, 2020 |
Albirex Niigata Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Iwaki | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Kagoshima United | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Consadole Sapporo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Omiya Ardija | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Montedio Yamagata | 3 - 4 | Loss |
Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Imabari | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Yokohama FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Shonan Bellmare | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Tochigi City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Albirex Niigata | 3 - 4 | Win |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Albirex Niigata | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 40 |
| 25 | Montedio Yamagata | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
Predictions
Albirex Niigata to win
This prediction indicates that Albirex Niigata has a 42.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.68 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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