Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Alcains
Sertanense
Alcains
L
W
L
D
L
L
Sertanense
L
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcains | Sertanense | 0 - 1 | September 11, 2022 |
Alcains Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 24 | Away | Leixoes | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 22, 24 | Home | CF Benfica | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 11, 22 | Home | Sertanense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 20 | Home | Vitória de Sernache | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 18 | Away | Vitória de Sernache | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 15, 17 | Away | Praiense | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Sertanense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 24 | Away | Alpendorada | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 24 | Away | Vieirense | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 24, 23 | Home | Amarante | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 16, 22 | Away | Rabo Peixe | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 2, 22 | Home | Castro Daire | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 11, 22 | Away | Alcains | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.23% likelihood that both Alcains and Sertanense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Alcains or Sertanense to win
This prediction indicates that Alcains has a 42.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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