Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Alcochetense
Fayal
Alcochetense
L
L
L
W
Fayal
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Alcochetense Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 25 | Away | Oriental Lisboa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 23 | Away | União Micaelense | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 29, 19 | Home | Leixoes | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 15, 19 | Away | Velense | 0 - 5 | Win |
Fayal Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 25 | Home | CD Olivais e Moscavide | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 20 | Away | Oriental Dragon | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 19 | Away | Coutada | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alcochetense to win
This prediction indicates that Alcochetense has a 51.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.66 %Most Likely Scorelines
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