Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Alfreton Town Stratford Town

Alfreton Town L L L L D L

Stratford Town L W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Mansfield Town	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Rotherham	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Derby	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Boston United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Burton Albion	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Notts County	0 - 5	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Brackley Town	1 - 0	Win
Sep 2, 25	Home	Halesowen Town	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Away	Halesowen Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	Brackley Town	2 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 25	Home	Solihull Moors	2 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Alfreton Town has a 40.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.06 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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