Primera División logo

Primera División
Alianza Lima logo Alianza Lima
Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
ADT logo ADT

Match Analysis

Alianza Lima ADT
Alianza Lima L D W D W D
ADT L L D D L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
ADT Alianza Lima 0 - 1 April 14, 2026
Alianza Lima ADT 3 - 1 August 17, 2025
ADT Alianza Lima 3 - 0 March 29, 2025
Alianza Lima ADT 0 - 0 August 11, 2024
ADT Alianza Lima 2 - 0 March 1, 2024
Alianza Lima ADT 0 - 0 October 21, 2023

Alianza Lima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Deportivo Garcilaso 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away FBC Melgar 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home UTC 1 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Sport Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Alianza Atletico 3 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Comerciantes Unidos 2 - 2 Draw

ADT Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Sport Huancayo 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Juan Pablo II College 5 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Alianza Atletico 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away UTC 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Deportivo Garcilaso 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Sport Boys 2 - 0 Loss

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 24 15 7 2 40 15 +25 52
17 ADT 24 5 7 12 27 36 -9 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alianza Lima to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Lima has a 66.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.02 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys 17 hours from now · 11 p.m. ›