Alianza Petrolera vs Bucaramanga Tuesday 11th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alianza Petrolera Bucaramanga

Alianza Petrolera D L L W D D

Bucaramanga W W L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bucaramanga	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 1	May 24, 2026
Bucaramanga	Alianza Petrolera	5 - 0	February 1, 2026
Bucaramanga	Alianza Petrolera	3 - 1	September 6, 2025
Alianza Petrolera	Bucaramanga	1 - 3	August 3, 2025
Alianza Petrolera	Bucaramanga	1 - 2	March 23, 2025
Bucaramanga	Alianza Petrolera	0 - 0	February 18, 2025

Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Fortaleza FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Real Santander	3 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Popayan	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Millonarios	2 - 2	Draw

Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Millonarios	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 1	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Popayan	2 - 3	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	2 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Real Santander	5 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza FC	2 - 1	Loss

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Bucaramanga	20	6	8	6	27	20	+7	26
16	Alianza Petrolera	20	3	9	8	14	28	-14	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Bucaramanga to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Bucaramanga has a 34.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.55 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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