Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa Real Sociedad

Aston Villa W W W D W L

Real Sociedad L D L D D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Manchester City	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	0 - 3	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Liverpool	4 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Burnley	2 - 2	Draw
May 7, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	4 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Tottenham	1 - 2	Loss

Real Sociedad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	PAU	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Espanyol	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Valencia	3 - 4	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Girona	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Real Betis	2 - 2	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	Sevilla	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that both Aston Villa and Real Sociedad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Aston Villa to win

This prediction indicates that Aston Villa has a 63.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.40 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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