Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza FC Sunday 26th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alianza Petrolera Fortaleza FC

Alianza Petrolera L L W D D D

Fortaleza FC D D L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza FC	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 0	January 17, 2026
Fortaleza FC	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 2	July 28, 2025
Alianza Petrolera	Fortaleza FC	0 - 0	March 26, 2025
Alianza Petrolera	Fortaleza FC	1 - 1	September 8, 2024
Fortaleza FC	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 2	February 28, 2024
Fortaleza FC	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 0	November 20, 2016

Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Real Santander	3 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Popayan	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Millonarios	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Llaneros	0 - 0	Draw

Fortaleza FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Cucuta	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Orsomarso	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Independiente Medellin	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Leones FC	4 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Independiente Medellin	1 - 0	Loss

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Alianza Petrolera to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Alianza Petrolera has a 38.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.03 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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