Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Falkirk

Alloa Athletic L W W L W W

Falkirk W L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Falkirk	Alloa Athletic	2 - 2	July 6, 2024
Falkirk	Alloa Athletic	2 - 2	May 4, 2024
Alloa Athletic	Falkirk	0 - 5	January 27, 2024
Falkirk	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	October 28, 2023
Alloa Athletic	Falkirk	1 - 4	August 26, 2023
Alloa Athletic	Falkirk	1 - 4	April 22, 2023

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 5, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 0	Win

Falkirk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 5	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Hibernian	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Motherwell	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Falkirk	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Alloa Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.54% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and Falkirk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Falkirk to win

This prediction indicates that Falkirk has a 57.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.26 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 80.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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