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Primera Nacional

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Almagro Agropecuario
Almagro D W L L W D
Agropecuario D D D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Agropecuario Almagro 1 - 1 August 20, 2023
Almagro Agropecuario 0 - 1 April 8, 2023
Agropecuario Almagro 2 - 2 March 5, 2022
Almagro Agropecuario 1 - 1 March 1, 2019
Almagro Agropecuario 0 - 2 May 8, 2018
Agropecuario Almagro 0 - 2 April 16, 2018

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 1 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Temperley 1 - 1 Draw

Agropecuario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Patronato 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Colegiales 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Midland 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Atlanta 0 - 0 Draw
May 5, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 2 - 3 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
28 Agropecuario 16 4 6 6 13 18 -5 18
33 Almagro 16 4 4 8 11 18 -7 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Almagro or Agropecuario to win
This prediction indicates that Agropecuario has a 39.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.61 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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