Almeria vs Malaga Saturday 20th June 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Almeria Malaga

Almeria D W D W L L

Malaga D D W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Malaga	Almeria	0 - 0	June 14, 2026
Almeria	Malaga	3 - 2	April 19, 2026
Malaga	Almeria	2 - 1	December 21, 2025
Almeria	Malaga	1 - 2	July 26, 2025
Almeria	Malaga	2 - 2	March 1, 2025
Malaga	Almeria	1 - 1	December 8, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Malaga	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Castellón	3 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Castellón	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Valladolid	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Sporting Gijon	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Las Palmas	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Almeria	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Home	Las Palmas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Las Palmas	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Zaragoza	0 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Racing Santander	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Almeria	45	23	10	12	85	66	+19	79
3	Malaga	45	22	12	11	77	53	+24	78

This prediction indicates that Almeria has a 36.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.46 %

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