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Primeira Liga
Alverca logo Alverca
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Rio Ave logo Rio Ave

Match Analysis

Alverca Rio Ave
Alverca D L D L W W
Rio Ave L W L L W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rio Ave Alverca 1 - 2 April 4, 2026
Alverca Rio Ave 1 - 1 November 8, 2025
Alverca Rio Ave 2 - 2 November 23, 2024
Rio Ave Alverca 1 - 0 November 24, 2019

Alverca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Santa Clara 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Sporting CP 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Estrela 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Porto 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Sporting CP B 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Mafra 1 - 0 Win

Rio Ave Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Sporting CP 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Estoril 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home FC Porto 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Tondela 3 - 1 Win
Jul 19, 26 Home Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 2 Draw

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
15 Alverca 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alverca to win
This prediction indicates that Alverca has a 41.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.38 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primeira Liga

Maritimo vs Benfica 14 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Sporting CP vs Nacional 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Estrela vs Famalicao 12 hours from now · 5:30 p.m. › Alverca vs SC Braga 14 hours from now · 8 p.m. ›