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Serie C logo

Serie C

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

AO Itabaiana Ituano
AO Itabaiana L D W D L D
Ituano L W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
AO Itabaiana Ituano 3 - 1 July 27, 2025
AO Itabaiana Ituano 1 - 0 July 20, 2019
Ituano AO Itabaiana 3 - 1 July 13, 2019

AO Itabaiana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Volta Redonda 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Figueirense 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Floresta 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Maringá 4 - 2 Loss
Apr 30, 26 Away PiauĂ­ 1 - 1 Draw

Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Caxias 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Botafogo PB 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 1 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
May 5, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Maringá 4 - 1 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Ituano 9 5 1 3 13 10 +3 16
19 AO Itabaiana 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! âś…

Ituano to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ituano has a 36.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.96 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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