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UEFA Champions League logo

UEFA Champions League

July 7, 2026 1 week from now VS

Match Analysis

Ararat-Armenia Riga
Ararat-Armenia D D W L W W
Riga D W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ararat-Armenia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Vojvodina 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Mura 1 - 1 Draw
Feb 18, 26 Home HIK 3 - 2 Win
Feb 15, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 1 Loss
Feb 12, 26 Home Hørsholm-Usserød 4 - 1 Win
Feb 7, 26 Away Banga 0 - 2 Win

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home FK Liepaja 4 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Rīgas FS 2 - 1 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Ogre United 1 - 4 Win
May 29, 26 Home Grobiņa 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home Super Nova 3 - 0 Win

UEFA Champions League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Riga None None None None None None None None
None Ararat-Armenia None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that both Ararat-Armenia and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 46.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.86 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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