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Primera B Metropolitana

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Argentino Quilmes Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes L L W D D D
Deportivo Merlo L D D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Merlo Argentino Quilmes 1 - 0 May 2, 2026
Argentino Quilmes Deportivo Merlo 3 - 0 August 9, 2025
Deportivo Merlo Argentino Quilmes 1 - 0 March 22, 2025
Argentino Quilmes Deportivo Merlo 0 - 0 June 24, 2024
Deportivo Merlo Argentino Quilmes 0 - 1 February 4, 2024
Deportivo Merlo Argentino Quilmes 1 - 2 July 30, 2023

Argentino Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away San Martín Burzaco 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Liniers 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Real Pilar 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away UAI Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Villa Dalmine 0 - 0 Draw

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Home Dock Sud 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Ituzaingó 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Deportivo Camioneros 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Sportivo Italiano 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away San Martín Burzaco 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 1 - 2 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Deportivo Merlo 31 9 12 10 33 45 -12 39
16 Argentino Quilmes 32 8 13 11 28 33 -5 37

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Argentino Quilmes to win
This prediction indicates that Argentino Quilmes has a 44.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.34 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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