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Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi D D D W L W
Excursionistas L W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Excursionistas Arsenal Sarandi 0 - 1 April 17, 2026

Arsenal Sarandi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Deportivo Armenio 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Flandria 1 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Defensores Unidos 3 - 1 Win

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Flandria 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Away Defensores Unidos 0 - 2 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Comunicaciones 1 - 2 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Excursionistas 29 15 8 6 40 20 +20 53
4 Arsenal Sarandi 28 14 10 4 38 20 +18 52

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Arsenal Sarandi to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Arsenal Sarandi has a 40.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.68 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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