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Primera C

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Argentino Rosario Mercedes
Argentino Rosario D D L D L L
Mercedes W D W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mercedes Argentino Rosario 1 - 0 April 11, 2026
Mercedes Argentino Rosario 1 - 1 July 27, 2024
Argentino Rosario Mercedes 2 - 0 February 24, 2024
Argentino Rosario Mercedes 1 - 2 September 8, 2023
Mercedes Argentino Rosario 1 - 1 June 3, 2023
Argentino Rosario Mercedes 2 - 4 May 20, 2023

Argentino Rosario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Yupanqui 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Leandro N. Alem 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Juventud Unida 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 15, 26 Away Sacachispas 1 - 0 Loss

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home El Porvenir 2 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 6, 26 Away Centro Español 0 - 3 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 5 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Lugano 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Mercedes 20 7 8 5 21 11 +10 29
26 Argentino Rosario 20 2 11 7 19 26 -7 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Mercedes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 35.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.20 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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