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Primera C

July 25, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Berazategui Mercedes
Berazategui W L D W W L
Mercedes W W L D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mercedes Berazategui 0 - 2 March 28, 2026
Mercedes Berazategui 1 - 3 August 8, 2025
Berazategui Mercedes 3 - 1 April 27, 2025
Berazategui Mercedes 2 - 0 August 24, 2024
Mercedes Berazategui 2 - 3 March 27, 2024

Berazategui Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Away Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away Leandro N. Alem 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 15, 26 Away Defensores de Cambaceres 0 - 1 Win
Jun 8, 26 Home Juventud Unida 2 - 1 Win
Jun 3, 26 Away Sacachispas 1 - 0 Loss

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 6, 26 Away Centro Español 0 - 3 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 5 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Lugano 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Puerto Nuevo 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Leandro N. Alem 2 - 0 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Berazategui 18 7 8 3 22 14 +8 29
12 Mercedes 18 6 7 5 18 10 +8 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Berazategui to win
This prediction indicates that Berazategui has a 46.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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