Ettan - Södra logo

Ettan - Södra
Ariana logo Ariana
Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Lund logo Lund

Match Analysis

Ariana Lund
Ariana D W L W W W
Lund D W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lund Ariana 1 - 4 June 12, 2026
Ariana Lund 0 - 1 October 3, 2025
Lund Ariana 0 - 0 April 28, 2025
Lund Ariana 1 - 1 August 10, 2024
Ariana Lund 3 - 1 May 5, 2024
Lund Ariana 3 - 0 September 1, 2023

Ariana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Angelholms FF 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Jonkopings Sodra 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Olympic 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Away Lund 1 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Eskilsminne 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Laholm 4 - 2 Win

Lund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away trelleborgs FF 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Skövde AIK 2 - 1 Win
Jun 18, 26 Away Jonkopings Sodra 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Home Ariana 1 - 4 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Kristianstad 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 3, 26 Away Olympic 1 - 3 Win

Ettan - Södra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Ariana 15 8 4 3 30 18 +12 28
3 Lund 15 7 6 2 28 18 +10 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.97% likelihood that both Ariana and Lund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Ariana to win
This prediction indicates that Ariana has a 42.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.11 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Ettan - Södra

Utsikten vs Hässleholms IF 11 hours from now · 6 p.m. › Skövde AIK vs Lund 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Eskilsminne vs Rosengård 7 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Tvååker vs Atvidabergs FF 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Ariana vs trelleborgs FF 7 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Trollhättan vs Laholm 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›