Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra
Arlanda logo Arlanda
Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Umeå FC logo Umeå FC

Match Analysis

Arlanda Umeå FC
Arlanda L D L W W W
Umeå FC L L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Umeå FC Arlanda 0 - 1 April 12, 2026

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Stockholm Internazionale 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Piteå 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 3, 26 Away Hammarby Talang 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Haninge 6 - 1 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home IF Karlstad 1 - 0 Win
Jun 18, 26 Home Stocksund 1 - 0 Win

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away gefle IF 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home AFC Eskilstuna 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Täfteå 1 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Järfälla 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Enköping 3 - 1 Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Arlanda 17 8 6 3 25 19 +6 30
13 Umeå FC 17 4 4 9 21 30 -9 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that both Arlanda and Umeå FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 62.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.07 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Ettan - Norra

Karlberg vs AFC Eskilstuna 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Assyriska FF vs gefle IF 10 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Vasalund vs Stocksund 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Umeå FC vs Enköping 5 hours from now · 2 p.m. › Hammarby Talang vs Piteå 8 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad 8 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›