Serie C - Girone A logo

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Arzignano Valchiampo Desenzano Calvina
Arzignano Valchiampo D D W W W D
Desenzano Calvina D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Arzignano Valchiampo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Lecco 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Cittadella 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home PRO Vercelli 3 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Pro Patria 2 - 3 Win
Apr 12, 26 Away Inter U23 0 - 1 Win
Apr 3, 26 Home Renate 0 - 0 Draw

Desenzano Calvina Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away PRO Vercelli 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 26, 23 Away Pergolettese 3 - 1 Loss
Dec 14, 22 Away Cremonese 7 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Desenzano Calvina 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Arzignano Valchiampo 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Arzignano Valchiampo to win
This prediction indicates that Arzignano Valchiampo has a 43.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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