Serie B logo

Serie B
Ascoli logo Ascoli
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Avellino logo Avellino

Match Analysis

Ascoli Avellino
Ascoli D W L W L L
Avellino W L L D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ascoli Avellino 1 - 1 May 5, 2018
Avellino Ascoli 1 - 1 December 16, 2017
Ascoli Avellino 2 - 0 April 25, 2017
Avellino Ascoli 1 - 2 December 3, 2016

Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Carrarese 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Verona 1 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Genoa 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Potenza 3 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Lazio 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Frosinone 1 - 0 Loss

Avellino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Vicenza Virtus 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Arezzo 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Monza 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Torino 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Lazio 6 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Sambenedettese 0 - 5 Win

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
5 Avellino 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ascoli to win
This prediction indicates that Ascoli has a 48.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.30 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie B

Ascoli vs Benevento 12 hours from now · 6:15 p.m. › Sudtirol vs Catanzaro 10 hours from now · 4 p.m. › Carrarese vs Empoli 15 hours from now · 8:30 p.m. ›