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Serie B

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ascoli Carrarese
Ascoli W L L W D L
Carrarese W L L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Potenza 3 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Lazio 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Frosinone 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Union Brescia 3 - 0 Win
Jun 3, 26 Away Union Brescia 1 - 1 Draw
May 27, 26 Away Catania 2 - 1 Loss

Carrarese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Virtus Entella 0 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Napoli 2 - 0 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Virtus Entella 2 - 1 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Cesena 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Frosinone 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Pescara 2 - 2 Draw

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Carrarese None None None None None None None None
None Ascoli None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ascoli to win
This prediction indicates that Ascoli has a 45.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.45 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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