Ascoli vs Lazio Sunday 02nd August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ascoli Lazio

Ascoli W D L W W D

Lazio W L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Union Brescia	3 - 0	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Union Brescia	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Away	Catania	2 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Catania	4 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Potenza	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Potenza	0 - 0	Draw

Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Pisa	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	AS Roma	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Inter	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Inter	0 - 3	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Cremonese	1 - 2	Win
Apr 27, 26	Home	Udinese	3 - 3	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Lazio to win

This prediction indicates that Lazio has a 50.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.92 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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