Serie C - Girone A logo

Serie C - Girone A
Athletic Carpi logo Athletic Carpi
Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Cittadella logo Cittadella

Match Analysis

Athletic Carpi Cittadella
Athletic Carpi L W L W L L
Cittadella W W L D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Athletic Carpi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Union Brescia 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Mantova 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Cesena 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2 - 3 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Forli 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Away Vis Pesaro 3 - 0 Loss

Cittadella Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Pergolettese 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Luparense 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Padova 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Cremonese 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Torino 0 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Ravenna 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
17 Athletic Carpi 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cittadella to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cittadella has a 39.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.65 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie C - Girone A

Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Pergolettese vs Union Brescia 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Athletic Carpi vs Juventus U23 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Arzignano Valchiampo vs PRO Vercelli 12 hours from now · 7 p.m. ›