Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Athletic Club II
Real Avilés
Athletic Club II
W
W
W
W
D
L
Real Avilés
W
W
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club II | Real Avilés | 0 - 2 | January 16, 2026 |
| Real Avilés | Athletic Club II | 3 - 2 | September 28, 2025 |
| Real Avilés | Athletic Club II | 1 - 2 | August 26, 2023 |
Athletic Club II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Laredo | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Amorebieta | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Sestao River | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Burgos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Ponferradina | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Sporting Gijón II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Mosconia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Racing Ferrol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Racing Santander II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Cultural Leonesa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Ponferradina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Real Avilés | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Athletic Club II | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Athletic Club II to win
This prediction indicates that Athletic Club II has a 47.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.60 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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