Serie B
Match Analysis
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
L
W
W
D
W
D
Vila Nova
W
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Vila Nova | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | September 9, 2025 |
| Athletic Club | Vila Nova | 0 - 1 | May 7, 2025 |
Athletic Club Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | CRB | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | America Mineiro | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Criciuma | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Ponte Preta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | São Bernardo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Atletico Goianiense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Ponte Preta | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atletico Goianiense | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sport Recife | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | CRB | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | +10 | 40 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Athletic Club to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Athletic Club has a 41.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.33 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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