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First Division

July 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Athlone Town UCD
Athlone Town W L D D L L
UCD L L W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
UCD Athlone Town 1 - 0 May 29, 2026
Athlone Town UCD 0 - 2 April 3, 2026
UCD Athlone Town 2 - 2 October 10, 2025
Athlone Town UCD 1 - 2 August 4, 2025
UCD Athlone Town 2 - 0 May 30, 2025
Athlone Town UCD 2 - 1 March 14, 2025

Athlone Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Finn Harps 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 19, 26 Home Wexford 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Kerry 1 - 0 Loss
May 29, 26 Away UCD 1 - 0 Loss

UCD Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 6 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Longford Town 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Win
Jun 19, 26 Home Kerry 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Away Finn Harps 0 - 5 Win
May 29, 26 Home Athlone Town 1 - 0 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 UCD 22 11 3 8 36 21 +15 36
8 Athlone Town 22 6 6 10 19 27 -8 24

Predictions

UCD to win
This prediction indicates that UCD has a 56.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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