Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Atlético Ottawa
York United
Atlético Ottawa
W
W
L
D
W
W
York United
L
L
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| York United | Atlético Ottawa | 4 - 1 | May 1, 2026 |
| York United | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 2 | September 14, 2025 |
| Atlético Ottawa | York United | 0 - 0 | August 3, 2025 |
| York United | Atlético Ottawa | 0 - 0 | June 22, 2025 |
| Atlético Ottawa | York United | 3 - 2 | April 19, 2025 |
| Atlético Ottawa | York United | 1 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
Atlético Ottawa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 9, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Forge | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
York United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 26 | Home | Cavalry FC | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Forge | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 4 - 1 | Win |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | York United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that both Atlético Ottawa and York United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atlético Ottawa to win
This prediction indicates that Atlético Ottawa has a 43.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.83 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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