Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Atlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Atlanta United FC
L
L
D
L
L
D
Sporting Kansas City
L
L
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 3 | February 17, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 1 | February 27, 2022 |
| Sporting Kansas City | Atlanta United FC | 0 - 3 | May 6, 2019 |
| Atlanta United FC | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 2 | May 9, 2018 |
| Sporting Kansas City | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | August 7, 2017 |
Atlanta United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Sporting Kansas City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 2 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that both Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atlanta United FC to win
This prediction indicates that Atlanta United FC has a 53.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.99 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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