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Primera Nacional

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela L W L W L D
Colegiales D D W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Atlanta 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 0 - 0 Draw

Colegiales Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 4 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 2 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Atletico DE Rafaela 15 6 4 5 13 12 +1 22
27 Colegiales 15 4 5 6 12 15 -3 17

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Atletico DE Rafaela will score 0 goals, and Colegiales will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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