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Primera Nacional

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela Deportivo Maipu
Atletico DE Rafaela D D W L W L
Deportivo Maipu D L L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Maipu Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 1 February 21, 2026
Atletico DE Rafaela Deportivo Maipu 2 - 0 September 17, 2023
Deportivo Maipu Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 1 May 7, 2023
Deportivo Maipu Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 0 May 2, 2022

Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 23, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away Patronato 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Colegiales 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Atlanta 2 - 0 Loss

Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Atletico DE Rafaela 17 7 5 5 14 12 +2 26
20 Deportivo Maipu 18 6 4 8 22 20 +2 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Atletico DE Rafaela will score 0 goals, and Deportivo Maipu will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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