Primera División
Match Analysis
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
W
W
D
L
L
W
FBC Melgar
D
W
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Atletico Grau and FBC Melgar have often ended in draws, and goals have been scarce in these encounters. The model predicts an away win for FBC Melgar with a 35% probability, noting that FBC Melgar has a clear quality gap in their favor, even though both teams are in moderate recent form. The model also sees the odds as roughly in line with its own confidence level. Additionally, the model suggests it is unlikely both teams will score and that the game will likely stay under 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting the recent trend of few goals in their matchups.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 0 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Atletico Grau | FBC Melgar | 0 - 0 | October 5, 2025 |
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 1 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 0 - 0 | September 24, 2024 |
| Atletico Grau | FBC Melgar | 1 - 2 | April 21, 2024 |
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2023 |
Atletico Grau Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | FC Cajamarca | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Juan Pablo II College | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sport Boys | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Sport Huancayo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | UTC | 3 - 1 | Win |
FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Alianza Lima | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FC Cajamarca | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | UCV Moquegua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 1 - 3 | Win |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 39 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FBC Melgar to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 35.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.51 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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