Serie A logo

Serie A
Atletico-MG logo Atletico-MG
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Chapecoense-sc logo Chapecoense-sc

Match Analysis

Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG W D D W W D
Chapecoense-sc L W D L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chapecoense-sc Atletico-MG 0 - 4 April 2, 2026
Chapecoense-sc Atletico-MG 2 - 2 October 6, 2021
Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1 June 21, 2021
Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 0 - 2 October 30, 2019
Chapecoense-sc Atletico-MG 1 - 2 July 14, 2019
Chapecoense-sc Atletico-MG 1 - 0 October 6, 2018

Atletico-MG Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Vitoria 2 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Internacional 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home RB Bragantino 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Gremio 3 - 0 Win
Aug 12, 26 Away RB Bragantino 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away remo 2 - 2 Draw

Chapecoense-sc Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Gremio 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Bahia 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Coritiba 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Santos 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Home Flamengo 0 - 4 Loss

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Atletico-MG 24 10 6 8 32 28 +4 36
20 Chapecoense-sc 24 2 8 14 25 49 -24 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Atletico-MG to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico-MG has a 65.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.29 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Bahia 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›