Primera A
Match Analysis
Atletico Nacional
Rionegro Aguilas
Atletico Nacional
W
W
W
L
W
W
Rionegro Aguilas
D
D
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rionegro Aguilas | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 1 | November 8, 2025 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 1 | August 6, 2024 |
| Atletico Nacional | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 2 | June 19, 2024 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 3 | February 4, 2024 |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tigres FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Chico | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Santa Fe | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 26, 26 | Away | Real Soacha | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 29 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 24 | +32 | 64 |
| 11 | Rionegro Aguilas | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 70.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.73 %Most Likely Scorelines
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