Primera A
Match Analysis
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
L
W
W
W
L
W
Santa Fe
W
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | February 26, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | June 13, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | June 8, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 2 | February 13, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 3 | December 9, 2024 |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tigres FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigres FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Tachira FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Junior | 1 - 0 | Win |
Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chico | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Union Magdalena | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Caracas FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Caracas FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 21 | +31 | 58 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 39 |
Predictions
Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 60.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.66 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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