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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Atlético Malveira Mafra
Atlético Malveira D L D L D L
Mafra D W L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Atlético Malveira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Oliveira Hospital 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Vitória de Sernache 0 - 3 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Louletano 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Oliveira Hospital 0 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Vitória de Sernache 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Louletano 1 - 2 Loss

Mafra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Atlético CP 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Vitória de Sernache 5 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Alverca 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away FC Fredericia 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Esbjerg 0 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Away CF Os Belenenses 3 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Atlético Malveira or Mafra to win
This prediction indicates that Mafra has a 38.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.56 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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