Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 Saturday 29th August 2026 03:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

Aubagne

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Match Analysis

Aubagne Bourg-en-bresse 01

Aubagne L L D L W D

Bourg-en-bresse 01 L W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aubagne	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1 - 0	February 13, 2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01	Aubagne	0 - 0	September 5, 2025
Aubagne	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1 - 0	March 14, 2025
Bourg-en-bresse 01	Aubagne	2 - 1	October 18, 2024

Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Home	SC Bastia	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Thionville Lusitanos	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	SC Bastia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Montpellier	3 - 2	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Caen	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Gobelins	1 - 1	Draw

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Valenciennes	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Villefranche	3 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Dijon	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Grenoble	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Valenciennes	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Villefranche	1 - 0	Win

National 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
17	Aubagne	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

Predictions

Aubagne to win

This prediction indicates that Aubagne has a 43.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.14 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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